At SEC media days in July, Steve Sarkisian inadvertently described a good portion of college football in a single line. "I feel like when you go to Arkansas," the Texas Longhorns coach said, "I almost at times feel like they hate Texas more than they like themselves.

What the analytics predict for Texas vs. Arkansas in this Week 12 college football game by an expert model that projects scores and picks winners.

Back in July, recalling fans flooding the field and tearing down the goalposts after the Razorbacks’ 40-21 beat-down of the 15th-ranked Horns in Fayetteville three years ago, Sark said Arkansas fans “probably hate Texas more than they like themselves.”